美国EIA公布最新布伦特原油价格预测
中国石化新闻网讯 美国钻井网站2023年2月8日报道，美国能源信息署(EIA)在周二晚些时候发布的最新一期2月份短期能源展望(STEO)报告中公布了其对布伦特原油价格的最新预测。
根据2月份STEO报告公布的数据，EIA预计今年布伦特原油现货平均价格将达到每桶83.63美元，2024年将达到每桶77.57美元。EIA在1月份发布的上一份STEO报告中预计，2023年布伦特原油现货均价将为每桶83.10美元，2024年为每桶77.57美元。
EIA在其最新一期的STEO报告中表示：“1月份，我们强调今年石油市场的两个主要不确定性，我们已经在2月的预测中修正了对这两个市场的展望。”
“这些变化在很大程度上抵消了我们对全球平衡的预测，在2023年第一季度之后，我们的原油价格预测基本与上个月的展望持平。”EIA继续说道。
EIA在2月份的STEO报告中强调，预计布伦特原油现货价格在今年上半年将平均达到每桶85美元，在今年下半年将达到每桶82美元。STEO报告指出，1月份布伦特原油现货价格平均为每桶82美元，比2022年12月的平均价格每桶高出约2美元。
STEO报告补充称：“对衰退不那么严重的看法以及宏观经济状况的一些改善，也可能推动了过去一个月原油价格的上涨。”
李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站
原文如下：
USA EIA Reveals Latest Oil Price Forecast
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has revealed its latest Brent oil price forecast in the February edition of its short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released late Tuesday.
According to the STEO, the EIA sees the Brent spot average coming in at $83.63 per barrel in 2023 and $77.57 per barrel in 2024. In its previous STEO, which was released in January, the EIA projected that the Brent spot price would average $83.10 per barrel in 2023 and $77.57 per barrel in 2024.
“Last month, we highlighted two of the main uncertainties in the oil market this year, and we have revised our outlook for both in this month’s forecast,” the EIA stated in its latest STEO.
“These changes have largely offset each other in our forecast global balances, and beyond the first quarter of 2023, we have left our crude oil price forecast largely unchanged from last month’s outlook,” the EIA continued.
In its February STEO, the EIA highlighted that it expected the Brent spot price will average $85 per barrel in the first half of 2023 and $82 per barrel in the second half of the year. The Brent crude oil spot price averaged $82 per barrel in January, the STEO noted, adding that this was about $2 per barrel higher than the average in December 2022.
“Perceptions of a less severe recession and some improving macroeconomic conditions also likely contributed to rising crude oil prices over the past month,” the STEO added.